Population Projections

A population projection is a forecast of future population growth. BC Stats applies the Component/Cohort-Survival method to project the population. This method "grows" the population from the latest base year estimate by forecasting births, deaths and migration by age. These forecasts are based on past trends modified to account for possible future changes and should be viewed as only one possible scenario of future population.

All population estimates and projections are as of July 1st.

B.C. Population Projections Application

Access, customize and download sub-provincial population projections data by age and sex for various administrative areas.

• Use the population application

Indigenous Population

• Sub-provincial Estimates and Projection for the Indigenous Population of B.C. on the BC Data Catalogue

Documentation

• P.E.O.P.L.E. 2025 Population Estimates and Projections (December 2025) (PDF)
• B.C. Population Projections at the Regional District Level and Outlook for 2046 (PDF)
• P.E.O.P.L.E. Sub-provincial Population Projections: Methodology and Assumptions (PDF)

Historical

• Small Area Population Projections (P.E.O.P.L.E.) (1999-2021) (PDF)

About BC Stats

Learn more about how BC Stats' supports data in B.C.