Population Projections

A population projection is a forecast of future population growth. BC Stats applies the Component/Cohort-Survival method to project the population. This method "grows" the population from the latest base year estimate by forecasting births, deaths and migration by age. These forecasts are based on past trends modified to account for possible future changes and should be viewed as only one possible scenario of future population.

All population estimates and projections are as of July 1st.

British Columbia Population Projections

Last updated September 2020

• P.E.O.P.L.E. 2020 Population Projections Highlights (PDF)

Population Projections Application

Last updated November 2022

Access, customize and download sub-provincial population projections data by age and sex for various administrative areas.

• Use the population application

Documentation

• B.C. Population Estimates and Projections: Methodological Highlights (2022) (PDF)
• Small Area Population Projections (P.E.O.P.L.E.) (1999-2021) (PDF)