Population Projections

A population projection is a forecast of future population growth. B.C. level projections are usually released by BC Stats in May each year, with sub-provincial projections following in August or September. All population estimates and projections are as of July 1st.

British Columbia-Level Population Projections (May 2017)

Sub-Provincial Population Projections - P.E.O.P.L.E. 2017 (July 2017)

Methodology

BC Stats applies the Component/Cohort-Survival method to project the population. This method "grows" the population from the latest base year estimate by forecasting births, deaths and migration by age. These forecasts are based on past trends modified to account for possible future changes and, consequently, should be viewed as only one possible scenario of future population.

Learn more about our methodology: